Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 3.387981 3.794487 4.235067 4.748800 5.332322 5.975585 6.739889
2024-10-13 2.786865 3.323995 3.947809 4.728655 5.683853 6.819254 8.278463
2024-10-20 2.386832 2.984138 3.714885 4.680384 5.931004 7.507666 9.663956
2024-10-27 2.013010 2.611180 3.373510 4.424868 5.850534 7.735462 10.447788
2024-11-03 1.822266 2.441707 3.260205 4.433018 6.090219 8.377805 11.826263
2024-11-10 1.703146 2.349804 3.232661 4.542529 6.464633 9.225778 13.572658
2024-11-17 1.579364 2.236106 3.159120 4.571834 6.716445 9.910397 15.141700
2024-11-24 1.472993 2.135328 3.091258 4.596881 6.955582 10.588554 16.764407
2024-12-01 1.379254 2.043452 3.025912 4.615100 7.179026 11.255033 18.432481
2024-12-08 1.266884 1.913447 2.890867 4.509869 7.191573 11.577946 19.552404
2024-12-15 1.186996 1.826504 2.813895 4.487681 7.332540 12.118035 21.097508
2024-12-22 1.111055 1.739562 2.729280 4.443774 7.429413 12.586656 22.559224
2024-12-29 1.087423 1.736444 2.781658 4.637746 7.961386 13.881037 25.735309
2025-01-05 1.026510 1.667537 2.720290 4.630847 8.137110 14.553674 27.809762
2025-01-12 0.964617 1.592253 2.642047 4.586479 8.238465 15.095468 29.688135
2025-01-19 0.873753 1.461215 2.458621 4.337193 7.933398 14.830570 29.875442
2025-01-26 0.832842 1.413922 2.417693 4.345296 8.118158 15.535943 32.192371
2025-02-02 0.810355 1.397336 2.429630 4.452440 8.504510 16.681454 35.613144
2025-02-09 0.777927 1.360567 2.402106 4.481109 8.735438 17.529470 38.476728
2025-02-16 0.747291 1.324933 2.373932 4.505609 8.958935 18.382734 41.464361
2025-02-23 0.717941 1.289696 2.343877 4.523428 9.169084 19.226996 44.543121
2025-03-02 0.675528 1.227233 2.257797 4.420503 9.110983 19.469338 46.169819
2025-03-09 0.646044 1.187552 2.212968 4.398801 9.226930 20.115173 48.900314